| Sabbath
12/11/30/120 C
Dear Friends,
Let us look at the so-called sub prime crisis and find out what
is really going on. If we assume there are 250 million persons in
the US and an average of 2.5 per household we are left with a total
of 100 million households. At an average price per house of say
$200,000 the total housing bill in the US is 20,000, 000 million
dollars or 20 trillion dollars. Holiday homes are not taken into
account as these are not purchased with sub prime loans. The sub
prime sector is the lower end of this market. The figures given
are 1.7 trillion dollars. The number of homes in this sector would
be some 8.5 million houses at the average price and perhaps some
10 million houses.
Investment in the sub prime market has been going on now for a
few years and has come to the point where the interest rates are
now reaching the higher levels set at the end of the two year holiday
period. We saw some 40 billion dollars written off in the last quarter
of last year and this month a further 20 billion in Citibank and
JP Morgan Chase alone. Morgan Stanley is faring worse than JP Morgan
Chase. On Thursday 17 January, Merrill Lynch announced a write-off
of US$14 billion and declared a loss of US$7.8 billion. That has
now reportedly been increased to 16 Billion and 9.8 billion declared
loss. Although not as much as Citibank, Merrill Lynch is much smaller
and relatively it is a massive blow to their system. Their stock
has declined by 49% writing US$42 billion from their peak market
capitalisation. The morning news on ABC Radio National stated that
to date US$100 billion had been written off and there was more to
come in the near future. The report from the Wall Street Journal
underestimated the actual write-offs by many billions of dollars
for the major corporations. The corporations themselves had understated
their prospective losses.
There has been over $30 billion of capital infusion between Merrill,
Citibank, UBS, and Morgan Stanley. The money is coming from Singapore,
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Korea, and Japan. These organisations
are being kept afloat with Arab and Asian money. Much of the money
is from government investment funds, mainly in Abu Dhabi and Singapore.
The foreign investment is being done to avoid federal government
scrutiny. In this election year it will become a major feature of
the election process. The banks are undergoing rapid recapitalisation
to shore up their shaky financial positions. They need to raise
money from investors rather than sell assets and cut back on the
finance lending. This method distributes the credit squeeze. However
these share issues are diluting current shareholder asset bases
and returns, which will be at least 50% down to next to nothing
anyway. As the write-downs mount, other institutions are forced
to seek fresh capital and that will mount over the next weeks and
months.
The Wall St Journal also reported Citigroup was forced to bail
out seven related entities and thus bring on to its balance sheets
US$49 billion in new assets and further erode its capital position.
As the economy weakens more loans to consumers and businesses are
soured. They are also caught in a squeeze as their profit margins
are pinched due to higher interest to attract deposits.
Credit downgrades to bond insurers will further imperil the banks
that have hedged their exposure to billions of dollars in bonds
by buying insurance. The value of the insurance diminishes as the
insurers are downgraded thus diminishing the value of the bonds
on their books.
The banks now want to tap the government funds seeking investment
opportunities. This is seen as the cash cow that might save them
from insolvency due to the affiliated incompetent risk management
and bad mortgage debts. These major banks are selling billions of
dollars in stock reducing its lost and actual value. Most of Merrill’s
commercial lending unit was sold by its new CEO John Thain recently.
Will the refilled coffers halt the slide?
The Australian Stock Market had the worst falls for decades over
the last two weeks. The local market lost about $83 billion over
the course of the week, and about $136 billion over the past two
weeks, as measured by the All Ordinaries index. It was reported
as being hurt by mainly offshore factors, such as concerns about
the US economy and hefty earnings losses reported by major US investment
banks.
There is more to come and one should ask what is going on? Could
some one tenth of properties be in liquidation as it seems?
The real problem is also the foreign ownership limitations in US
law. The aim seems to be to force the foreign ownership and control
over the 5% limit and force the raising of the limit under the Bank
Holding Company Act to relieve the crisis. The Federal Reserve is
its own watchdog in this aspect when it should rightly reside with
Congress. The watchdogs could require the banks to maintain higher
levels of capital reserves. The low level of capital reserves is
much of the reason most of the securities are worthless now. Merrill
would be exempt from that however, as it is not a commercial bank.
Supervision is problematic as the Committee on foreign investment
in the US is led by the Treasury Secretary who is under extreme
(internet) criticism at present for the Wantagate scandal.
Investment is being diffused so as to not alarm the public and
the few politicians and regulators that have an idea of the seriousness
of the issue. The Bush administration is welcoming the investment,
reportedly so as to not appear protectionist.
The stocks are skidding as a result of public misgiving about using
extremist measures to control the situation. So what is it all about?
The interest on the sub prime debt of 1.7 trillion dollars at 6%
over two years is 102 billion per annum. If we assume that the 6
% was paid then 204 billion was paid. If 100 billion dollars was
written off to date and 75 billion in the British and US banks alone
we are writing off the entire interest bill on the entire debt which
is ridiculous. We are not being told the full story. The system
can be solved simply but they don’t appear to want to solve
it. The fixing of the sub prime rate and the control of the asset
sale is easily done and would limit the loss. The loss even under
fire-sale conditions now could not be more than five to ten trillion
dollars. There is much more going on than the loss on housing in
the US.
The reality of the market is that central banks and investment
banks have a symbiotic relationship. The theory is that one party,
the investment banks benefit. The central banks control the system.
The system is contrary to law but was established by the US presidency
(and also in Australia by the Labor system in government) contrary
to law and the constitutions of those countries.
In this case the investment banks have introduced questionable
sub prime CDOs into the asset backed paper market and crippled the
capacity of the central banks to maintain the markets necessary
for investment banks to profit. They deliberately destroyed their
own financial base using an asset base that was artificially created
by sales using the central bank and another financial house. That
appears highly unethical if not treasonous and when committed on
other nations it can be construed as a hostile act to destabilise
a national economy.
We have now seen what appears to be a deliberately engineered collapse
of investor confidence that has now prevented commercial banks from
selling their hundreds of billions of dollars plus inventory of
asset-backed commercial paper to investors who no longer have confidence
in the product.
In March 2007 US$156 billion of asset backed commercial paper was
issued. In October 2007 only US$5 billion was issued thus indicating
a total collapse of the market. This cannot be legitimately described
as a contraction.
So the banks (many outside the US) are now holding the bad debts
with no real security in these worthless paper CDOs. Even Australian
local government authorities have invested rate-payers funds in
this worthless US paper. Some people think that it was not the intention
of the investment banks or their symbiotic twins the central banks.
Don’t you believe it!
Now German and French and British banks and Japanese and US insurers
such as the massive AIG are reeling from multi billion dollar losses
from investment in these sub prime CDOs. It is estimated that money
market funds own as much as 300 billion of this sub prime debt.
Their ability to refinance these funds is seriously in doubt.
The British government is about to nationalise the Northern Rock
bank in the UK to salvage its funds.
The backlog of this questionable debt has now frozen the ability
of credit markets to provide the additional credit to these junk-rated
corporations dependent on this finance and the entire system appears
certain to collapse.
The world has never seen anything like it. It cannot be simple stupidity
on such a large and systematic scale.
The scheme was to create a pool of dependent investors in the lower
income levels and trap them into a variable rate mortgage, which
would double in interest at the end of two years. Thus the investors
could literally rape the financially vulnerable using non-biblical
principles and an unethical system. The system of increasing interest
is actually legal and government sanctioned in Australia. It is
theft and against God’s laws. They deserve to be caught in
the pit they dug for the American sub prime borrowers and to catch
themselves on their own snare getting out.
The consequence may well be the collapse of confidence in the entire
monetary system based on paper money and promissory notes.
There must be another explanation of what is happening.
The answer is that this crisis appears to have been deliberately
engineered to fleece or even bring down the world financial system
and the pension funds and effectively transfer control of the economies
of the world to the New World Order.
It will prove to be without doubt the greatest act of treason perpetrated
on the American people and the greatest act of financial violence
ever perpetrated by the US on its allies and innocent nations. A
Fascist European Union will rise out of the ashes of the current
system. The real aim of these people is to establish a global money
system to match the global economy. National monetary systems are
at odds with this drive for the NWO Global Economy thus a crisis
must be engineered to panic the populace into accepting the introduction
of the global monetary system. They may have to do it by regions
at first but the end aim is the single world currency unit.
The destruction of the national integrity of Canada is almost complete.
“More than 12,000 Canadian companies have been taken over
since the 1989 Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement. Since January 2006,
foreign takeovers of some $156 billion have been consummated…There
only are a handful of widely held Canadian companies now listed
on the Toronto Stock Exchange – surely an abnormal situation
for a sovereign nation.”
This analysis of this issue is reported on http://www.forcingchange.org/conquering_canada_with_endnotes
The American union is being undertaken by stealth through the US
Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). The US citizen is not being
informed of the elitist agenda in case they rise up in arms.
It will come to a head in 2008 and begin the disaster that will
be the New World Order and the system we call the Beast Power. It
will escalate into an attempt at world control and then total global
war within a very short time. That is why the US elitists wants
bases all over the world and are prepared to invade and bomb any
nation that stands in their way. That is why people such as Ron
Paul and Kucinich in the US are being sidelined and their arguments
are not heard. These elitists don’t want it exposed and the
US media is complicit. The journalists are dumb dogs in the biblical
sense.
From Passover this year we will explain how these madmen will achieve
it and what is to happen to the world and to them as a result.
Wade Cox
Coordinator General
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