Thyroid Study Fails to Find Hanford Link
Scientists discern no increase in thyroid disease due
to radiation releases
Karen Dorn Steele
Staff writer
RICHLAND -- A controversial study of Hanford's Cold War
radiation releases has found no association between iodine-131 releases
and increased thyroid disease in 3,440 people exposed as children.
The scientists behind the Hanford Thyroid Disease Study
have spent another $1.5 million over the past three years to answer
criticism of their work by the National Academy of Sciences. The study
has cost taxpayers $19.5million.
In their final report released Friday, they say the conclusions
they reached in their 1999 draft study still stand.
The study's findings don't mean that individuals living
near Hanford weren't harmed by Hanford's invisible radiation clouds,
said Dr. Thomas Hamilton, an endocrinologist and one of three lead scientists
at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center.
"For this population under these conditions, we didn't
see a relationship between iodine 131 and thyroid disease. That doesn't
mean iodine 131 doesn't cause thyroid disease," Hamilton said.
"If there is an increased risk of thyroid disease, it is too small
to observe," said Paul Garbe of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, which hired the Seattle team for the study.
Iodine 131 was released from Hanford's weapons plants in
the 1940s and '50s. Winds carried it to vegetation eaten by cows and
goats. It was passed on to the sensitive thyroid glands of children
when they drank milk.
The 12-year study of people in seven Eastern Washington
counties found 19 cases of thyroid cancer, 249 noncancerous thyroid
nodules, 267 people with hypothyroidism or auto-immune disease and 34
with Graves Disease, which results in an overactive thyroid.
But the study team said the rates of thyroid disease in
the Hanford downwinders is apparently no greater than those in the general
population.
However, worldwide data on thyroid disease incidence are
spotty, making that comparison less certain, according to a summary
of their work.
The researchers identified more than 5,000 people who were
born between 1940 and 1946 to mothers who lived in Benton, Franklin,
Adams, Walla Walla, Okanogan, Ferry and Stevens counties.
They located 4,877 people, of whom 527 had died. Some 3,440
agreed to participate.
The participants were asked to provide detailed information
about the food and milk they consumed and where they lived from 1944
to 1957, the years of the most significant Hanford releases.
They also attended a medical clinic, where they were examined
for thyroid disease.
The study compared people thought to have received high
radiation doses with others with smaller estimated doses, said Scott
Davis, Fred Hutchinson's principal investigator.
If there had been a Hanford effect, they would have found
more thyroid disease in the high-dose group. But they didn't, Davis
said.
The study also found an unexplained higher-than-normal infant
death rate among the group.
The deaths were from birth defects and problems late in
pregnancy or in the first week after birth. But none of that increase
was due to thyroid disease and some of the deaths occurred before Hanford's
radioactive iodine releases began, Davis said.
In an interview Friday in Richland, the Fred Hutchinson
team admitted it made mistakes during the release of the draft study
in Richland in January 1999.
At that time, the study hadn't been peer-reviewed by the
National Academy, which later faulted the scientists for exaggerating
their main finding of no radiation effect and failing to disclose the
study's uncertainties.
The NAS also said the study design was sound, but the way
the results were communicated wasn't.
The study's release triggered an angry reaction from Hanford downwinders,
who said they'd been dismissed and betrayed.
"We gave an impression that people didn't have thyroid
disease, didn't suffer and weren't exposed," Hamilton said.
The scientists have tried to frame the issues differently
in the final report.
"We've tried to consider more carefully what the (study's)
limitations are," Davis said. "It's frustrating for people
that epidemiology can't address an individual's disease," he said.
In response to the NAS critique, the CDC spent $340,000
for professional communications help from Ogilvie and Mather, a New
York public relations firm. The CDC also convened "focus groups"
in the Tri-Cities to discuss how to communicate the study results.
The scientists also devoted months to the NAS' scientific
critiques, reviewing whether the study was statistically robust and
checking possible underestimates of the radiation does.
They also reviewed the dietary information on what downwinders
consumed as children that was used to help estimate their radiation
doses.
Due to the extensive NAS critique, the study's peer review
was "much more thorough" than is typical, Garbe said.
The government study was mandated by Congress after Hanford
officials admitted for the first time in 1986 that they had released
substantial amounts of radiation while making plutonium for nuclear
bombs.
It was the first to locate and examine people living in
the path of radiation emissions from a U.S. weapons production site.
Other civilians who have been studied include Japanese atomic
bomb survivors at Hiroshima and Nagasaki; residents of the Marshall
Islands exposed to H-bomb tests; Utah schoolchildren showered with fallout
from nuclear bomb tests in Nevada; and Ukrainian children following
the 1986 explosion of the Chernobyl nuclear reactor.
A link between iodine 131 and thyroid disease has been found
in those studies, where people were exposed to a mix of internal and
external radiation.
Hamilton, who studied radiation damage to residents of the
Marshall Islands, said in 1999 that he was shocked the Hanford study
hadn't detected a radiation effect.
The study team carefully reviewed its work to see whether
they'd missed a dose response, Hamilton said this week.
Hanford's releases were different from the other sites studied
worldwide, he said. At Hanford, the radiation doses were exclusively
from iodine 131, were smaller, and the exposure was more drawn out,
he said.
"It was probably for that reason we didn't find thyroid
disease," he said.
The study results can be seen on the CDC Web site at www.cdc.gov/nceh/radiation.
Karen Dorn Steele can be reached at (509) 459-5462, or
by e-mail at karend@spokesman.com
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